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59 active events · $15.4M total volume
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💰 Volume
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Event
Probability
Volume
24h Vol
Markets
Closes
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes
22%
Volume
$10.3M
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Best AI at the end of 2026?
—
Volume
$1.5M
24h
—
Markets
7
Closes
—
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
—
Volume
$836K
24h
—
Markets
12
Closes
—
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
—
Volume
$586K
24h
—
Markets
0
Closes
—
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
Yes
21%
Volume
$272K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
—
Volume
$261K
24h
—
Markets
9
Closes
—
NASA lands on the moon?
—
Volume
$225K
24h
—
Markets
2
Closes
—
Top AI model this week?
—
Volume
$116K
24h
—
Markets
10
Closes
—
What will be the top AI model this month?
—
Volume
$106K
24h
—
Markets
10
Closes
—
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
—
Volume
$98K
24h
—
Markets
10
Closes
—
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
—
Volume
$88K
24h
—
Markets
5
Closes
—
AI capability growth before July?
—
Volume
$85K
24h
—
Markets
9
Closes
—
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
Yes
52%
Volume
$75K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
—
Volume
$61K
24h
—
Markets
0
Closes
—
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
—
Volume
$56K
24h
—
Markets
10
Closes
—
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Yes
30%
Volume
$52K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Yes
24%
Volume
$52K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
Yes
52%
Volume
$46K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
Yes
93%
Volume
$44K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
—
Volume
$43K
24h
—
Markets
4
Closes
—
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
Yes
30%
Volume
$41K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
Yes
44%
Volume
$37K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
AI capability growth this year?
—
Volume
$36K
24h
—
Markets
0
Closes
—
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Yes
60%
Volume
$36K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Best AI in Mar 2026?
—
Volume
$32K
24h
—
Markets
6
Closes
—
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
Yes
16%
Volume
$29K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Yes
47%
Volume
$28K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Yes
69%
Volume
$28K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
—
Volume
$25K
24h
—
Markets
3
Closes
—
When will xAI release Grok 5?
—
Volume
$25K
24h
—
Markets
4
Closes
—
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
Yes
28%
Volume
$23K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
—
Volume
$21K
24h
—
Markets
4
Closes
—
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
—
Volume
$18K
24h
—
Markets
0
Closes
—
Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
Yes
10%
Volume
$17K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
Yes
17%
Volume
$14K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
—
Volume
$14K
24h
—
Markets
0
Closes
—
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Yes
21%
Volume
$13K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
—
Volume
$10K
24h
—
Markets
8
Closes
—
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
Yes
15%
Volume
$9K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Yes
29%
Volume
$7K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Best AI this week?
—
Volume
$6K
24h
—
Markets
6
Closes
—
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
Yes
74%
Volume
$5K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Yes
54%
Volume
$4K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
Yes
37%
Volume
$4K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Tech layoffs up in Jan 2026?
Yes
49%
Volume
$3K
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
—
Volume
$1
24h
—
Markets
40
Closes
—
Bezel Tudor Index Up or Down: March
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Bezel Rolex Index Up or Down: March
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Bezel Omega Index Up or Down: March
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Bezel Cartier Index Up or Down: March
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Rolex Submariner 41 Date Up or Down: March
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Tudor Black Bay Up or Down: March
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Rolex Submariner Date 41 "Starbucks" Up or Down: March
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Rolex Datejust 41 "Wimbledon" Up or Down: March
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Omega Speedmaster Up or Down: March
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
1
Closes
—
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
—
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
40
Closes
—
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
—
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
40
Closes
—
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
—
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
40
Closes
—
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
—
Volume
$0
24h
—
Markets
40
Closes
—