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Price of NVIDIA H200 compute on Mar 31, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
40
Markets
40

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (40)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Above $2.13 0%
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Above $2.14 0%
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Above $2.15 0%
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Above $2.16 0%
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Above $2.19 0%
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Above $2.21 0%
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Above $2.22 0%
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Above $2.23 0%
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Above $2.24 0%
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Above $2.25 0%
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Above $2.26 0%
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Above $2.27 0%
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Above $2.28 0%
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Above $2.29 0%
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Above $2.30 0%
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Above $2.31 0%
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Above $2.32 0%
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Above $2.33 0%
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Above $2.34 0%
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Above $2.35 0%
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Above $2.36 0%
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Above $2.37 0%
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Above $2.38 0%
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Above $2.39 0%
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Above $2.40 0%
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Above $2.41 0%
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Above $2.42 0%
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Above $2.43 0%
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Above $2.44 0%
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Above $2.45 0%
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Above $2.46 0%
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Above $2.47 0%
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Above $2.48 0%
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Above $2.49 0%
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Above $2.50 0%
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Above $2.51 0%
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Above $2.52 0%
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About This Market

This market asks what the prevailing market price for NVIDIA H200 compute will be on March 31, 2026. It matters because H200 compute pricing reflects supply, cloud adoption, and AI demand trends that affect budgets and deployment decisions across research labs and enterprises.

The H200 is a data-center GPU/accelerator generation used for large-model training and inference; prices have been driven by NVIDIA product cycles, cloud provider offerings, and secondary-market availability. Since its launch, H200 pricing dynamics have been influenced by enterprise AI adoption, hyperscaler capacity planning, and competition from alternative accelerators.

Market odds aggregate traders’ views about where the H200 compute price will land at the specified date; they update as news and supply/demand signals arrive and should be read as a real-time consensus rather than a definitive forecast.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What exactly do the 40 outcomes represent on this "Price of NVIDIA H200 compute on Mar 31, 2026" market?

Each outcome corresponds to a specific price bucket or price point defined on the market page; consult the event’s outcome list to see the exact labels and settlement cutoffs that determine which outcome wins at settlement.

How will this market be settled given the listing shows "Closes: TBD"?

Settlement will follow the procedures stated on the market page: once a close time is announced, the market will use the specified reference price source and timestamp to determine which outcome is correct; until the organizer posts the close time, traders should monitor the event for updates.

Which data sources typically determine the observed H200 compute price used for settlement?

The event description should name the authoritative source(s) used for settlement; common reference points include published cloud-provider prices, major resale/spot marketplaces, or an agreed industry index—always check the market rules for the precise source.

What historical drivers have produced large moves in H200 compute pricing that could be relevant before Mar 31, 2026?

Examples include NVIDIA SKU launches or price cuts, large hyperscaler discounts or contract wins, sudden spikes in model-training demand, and supply disruptions; each type of event can materially shift spot and list pricing.

How should I think about trading strategy given there are 40 discrete outcomes and likely variable liquidity?

With many outcomes, price resolution is granular and liquidity can be thin in individual buckets; consider spreading exposure across adjacent outcomes, watch for scheduled catalysts, and size positions to account for potential wide spreads and rapid re-pricing on new information.

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