| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $2.83 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.84 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.85 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.86 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.87 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.88 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.89 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.90 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.91 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.92 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.93 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.94 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.95 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.96 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.97 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.98 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.01 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.02 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.03 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.04 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.05 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.06 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.07 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.08 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.09 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.10 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.11 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.12 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.13 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.14 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.15 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.16 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.17 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.18 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.19 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.20 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.21 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $3.22 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks where the price of NVIDIA B200 compute will be on March 31, 2026 and aggregates trader expectations about that price on a specific settlement date. It matters because outcomes reflect market views on AI compute costs, vendor pricing, and cloud-provider offerings at that point in time.
NVIDIA B200 compute pricing will be influenced by the product lifecycle of NVIDIA accelerators, recent product announcements, and broader demand for AI training and inference capacity. Supply-chain constraints, inventory levels at hyperscalers and resellers, and competitive moves by other accelerator vendors all shape price trajectories. This contract is organized into 40 discrete outcomes and the official settlement metric and close/settlement timing are defined in the market's rules (close time currently listed as TBD).
Market prices are a summary of trader beliefs and update as new information arrives; a rising price for an outcome means traders are shifting toward that level as the expected settlement result. Treat market prices as a real-time sentiment and information aggregator rather than a guaranteed forecast.
The contract measures the settlement value defined by the market's official rules for the specified date — typically a price point for a defined unit of B200 compute (check the market description for whether that is per-card list price, per-hour cloud price, or another metric).
Settlement occurs according to the market's stated settlement rules; the specific reference time on March 31, 2026 and any data source used are listed on the market page (the market close time is currently listed as TBD).
The market will use whatever reference(s) are specified in its rules, which commonly include vendor list prices, published cloud provider rates, or a named third-party pricing index; check the market's settlement clause for the exact source(s).
Key actors include NVIDIA for official pricing, major cloud providers and hyperscalers for list/spot compute rates, large resellers/distributors for channel pricing, and competitors or regulators whose actions affect supply and demand.
Use historical trends to identify supply-demand cycles, product lifecycle patterns, and how quickly cloud providers adjust prices after new hardware launches, but be cautious: past behavior offers context rather than a deterministic guide to the March 31, 2026 settlement.