| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChatGPT | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $143K | Trade → |
| Gemini | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $61K | Trade → |
| Claude | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $44K | Trade → |
| Grok | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Dola | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Qwen | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market asks which AI will be judged the "Best AI this week" among six listed outcomes; it matters because it aggregates real-time trader beliefs about which AI will generate the most positive attention or recognition during the specified week.
Weekly "best AI" contests have become common as the pace of product launches, demos, and benchmark results accelerates; markets like this capture short-term shifts in attention and perceived technical progress. This specific KALSHI market lists six outcomes and remains open until the platform or market creator specifies a closing/resolution window (Closes: TBD), so traders should watch for official resolution criteria on the event page.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of traders at a moment in time and can move quickly when new demos, benchmark results, or media coverage appear. Use prices as a dynamic signal of market sentiment, not a definitive measure of technical quality.
Resolution follows the market's official rules on the KALSHI event page: the listed outcome that meets the market's stated resolution criteria by the close will be declared the winner, so check the event description and any publisher clarifications for the exact definition of "best."
Because the close is listed as TBD, the market creator or KALSHI will publish the exact start/end timestamps and the resolution cutoff; traders should monitor the event page or announcements to know which calendar days and times are included.
Outcome lists are typically fixed once the market is live; additions or edits would be governed by KALSHI's market rules and any publisher amendments, so verify the current outcome list on the market page before trading.
Major news close to resolution can produce rapid price movement; traders should consider official resolution cutoffs and any rules about post‑cutoff events, and be aware that last‑minute announcements may have outsized impact on market sentiment.
Tie‑breaking and dispute resolution follow the market's stated procedures on the event page or KALSHI's resolution policy; if the rules do not specify, KALSHI will apply its standard resolution process or consult the market publisher for a ruling.