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Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute on Mar 31, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
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Active Markets
40
Markets
40

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (40)
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About This Market

This market asks which price band the per-unit compute cost of an NVIDIA RTX 5090 will fall into on March 31, 2026; it matters because GPU compute pricing affects AI project costs, cloud pricing, and hardware resale markets.

The RTX 5090 represents a next-generation consumer/datacenter accelerator class whose street and cloud compute prices will reflect manufacturing capacity, NVIDIA pricing strategy, and demand from AI and high-performance computing users. Historical GPU-price volatility has been driven by spikes in AI and crypto demand, supply-chain shocks, and major vendor pricing or SKU changes. Market participants use prediction markets like this to aggregate expectations about how those forces will combine on the settlement date.

Market odds across outcomes summarize the current consensus about which price band is most likely at settlement but change continuously as new information arrives; treat them as a continually updating indicator, not a guaranteed prediction.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the settlement price for 'Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute on Mar 31, 2026' determined?

Settlement follows the market contract's specified data source and observation timestamp listed on the market page; that specification defines the exact price measurement used for settlement and any tie-break or verification procedures.

What does each of the 40 outcomes represent?

Each outcome maps to a discrete price band or listed price point for RTX 5090 compute as defined in the market rules; the market page lists all 40 outcomes and their corresponding price ranges or labels.

When will trading for this market close?

The platform sets the trading close time and will display it on the market page; because the event date is Mar 31, 2026, expect trading to close at or shortly before the published observation timestamp but check the live market for the definitive close time.

Which near-term announcements or events should I monitor that could move this market?

Watch NVIDIA product and pricing announcements, quarterly earnings and guidance from major cloud providers, supply-chain reports (foundry capacity, component shortages), large corporate procurement deals, and major shifts in demand drivers such as new AI model releases or regulatory changes affecting crypto/mining demand.

Can changes by NVIDIA or cloud providers after the market is listed alter how the market settles?

No—changes in the real world can affect the observed price but cannot retroactively change the contract's settlement specification; any dispute about the reported settlement value is handled according to the platform's published dispute and verification procedures.

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