Price of NVIDIA H100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?

Settlement follows the event’s rules on the trading platform: the winning outcome will be the price bucket that contains the reference price defined in the market description (for example a specific retail, cloud‑rental, or spot index and a timestamp). Consult the market’s settlement clause on the event page for the exact source and time used.

The event description defines which metric is used (purchase price, cloud instance hourly rate, spot rental rate, or a specific published index). Traders should confirm the market’s definition because different metrics can move independently.

The 40 outcomes partition the possible price range into discrete buckets; each outcome corresponds to a listed price range on the event page, and final settlement assigns the outcome whose range contains the reference price.

Key movers include NVIDIA product launches or pricing updates, NVIDIA and TSMC production reports, major cloud providers changing instance prices or stockpiling inventory, large AI labs announcing procurement or scaling back, and regulatory actions affecting export or import of accelerators.

Use historical trends—initial premium pricing at launch, subsequent price softening as supply increases, and sensitivity to demand spikes—to provide context, but combine that with current signs (order books, cloud pricing, competitor moves) because supply, demand, and new product introductions can alter past patterns.