| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $1.44859 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the reference price of XRP will be higher or lower after a specific 15-minute interval; it matters for traders focused on very short-term price moves and liquidity events.
XRP is an actively traded cryptocurrency whose price can move quickly on exchange order flow, news, and cross-market correlations. Short-interval markets like this capture microstructure dynamics — order-book depth, large trades, and algorithmic activity — rather than longer-term fundamental trends. Resolution depends on the price source and timestamps defined by the platform.
Market odds here reflect collective expectations about short-term price direction over the 15-minute window and incorporate traders' assessments of liquidity, momentum, and imminent information flow. Use changes in the market price as a real-time indicator of shifting expectations, not a guaranteed outcome.
It means the market resolves by comparing the XRP reference price at the start of the specified 15-minute measurement period to the reference price at the end of that period, as defined by the market's resolution rules.
The 15-minute window begins at the market's designated start timestamp on KALSHI and runs for exactly 15 minutes; the market page or official rules state the precise start and end timestamps.
The market resolves to the price feed(s) and timestamp conventions specified in the event's resolution text on KALSHI; those details identify which exchange(s) or index is used as the reference.
In a short window, a large market order can move the reference price materially if liquidity is thin on the chosen price source, so order timing and market impact are particularly consequential for resolution.
If timing or resolution details are still listed as TBD, KALSHI will publish the final start/close timestamps and resolution rules before the market becomes live; platforms generally do not alter a market's defined measurement window after it is posted and trading has begun.