| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $65,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $180K | Trade → |
| $66,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $165K | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $149K | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 95% | 94¢ | 96¢ | — | $136K | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $131K | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 78% | 77¢ | 81¢ | — | $111K | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $92K | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 39% | 40¢ | 41¢ | — | $81K | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $55K | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 14% | 13¢ | 15¢ | — | $39K | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 5% | 4¢ | 6¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 4% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $68,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $193 | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $187 | Trade → |
| $57,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $159 | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $93 | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price bracket Bitcoin will be trading in at exactly 10:00am EST on March 2, 2026; it matters because it concentrates trader expectations for that precise timestamp and can be used to gauge short-term market sentiment. The outcome influences hedging, trading decisions, and perceptions of near-term risk in crypto markets.
Bitcoin price is driven by a mix of macroeconomic conditions, crypto-specific developments (regulation, ETFs, exchange flows), and on-chain dynamics; its volatility means prices can move materially ahead of any fixed settlement timestamp. This market lists 75 discrete outcomes, which typically correspond to narrow price ranges or specific price points, allowing traders to express fine-grained views about the exact value at the settlement moment.
Prediction market odds represent the market’s aggregated trading activity and implied consensus about which outcome will occur; they change as new information arrives and traders update positions. Interpret them as a dynamic snapshot of expectations rather than a guaranteed forecast.
The market consists of 75 distinct outcomes that represent discrete price buckets or specific settlement ranges for Bitcoin at the specified timestamp; check the market page for the full list and exact bucket boundaries.
Settlement is based on the market’s official settlement rules and the designated price source at the exact timestamp of 10:00am EST on March 2, 2026; consult the event’s settlement documentation on the market platform to confirm the data feed and tie-break procedures.
Significant intraday events—economic releases, major exchange incidents, regulatory announcements, or large on-chain transfers—can shift order flow and reprice outcomes quickly, because the market reflects information up until trades stop or settlement rules lock the reference price.
Historical patterns (for example, volatility spikes around macro events or recurring liquidity windows) can inform expectations, but each timestamp can be affected by unique contemporaneous factors, so historical behavior is a helpful context but not determinative.
If the reported reference price is disputed, the platform’s dispute-resolution and arbitration procedures apply; this typically involves review of the designated data source, verification steps per the market’s rules, and an official ruling or adjustment as described in the event’s terms.