| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,750 or above | 73% | 74¢ | 76¢ | — | $91K | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 96% | 96¢ | 97¢ | — | $80K | Trade → |
| $69,250 or above | 81% | 81¢ | 82¢ | — | $80K | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 69% | 67¢ | 68¢ | — | $76K | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 91% | 90¢ | 92¢ | — | $75K | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 17% | 15¢ | 18¢ | — | $75K | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 87% | 86¢ | 87¢ | — | $74K | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 94% | 95¢ | 96¢ | — | $71K | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 92% | 92¢ | 95¢ | — | $71K | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 49% | 47¢ | 49¢ | — | $61K | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 8% | 7¢ | 9¢ | — | $58K | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 25% | 23¢ | 24¢ | — | $57K | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 95% | 94¢ | 96¢ | — | $53K | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 16% | 11¢ | 15¢ | — | $44K | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 31% | 30¢ | 31¢ | — | $44K | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 95% | 96¢ | 99¢ | — | $43K | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 61% | 60¢ | 61¢ | — | $35K | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 10% | 8¢ | 11¢ | — | $32K | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 39% | 37¢ | 39¢ | — | $32K | Trade → |
| $78,250 or above | 4% | 1¢ | 4¢ | — | $28K | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 97% | 97¢ | 99¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| $76,250 or above | 7% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 99¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 96% | 96¢ | 99¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| $78,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| $79,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
| $77,250 or above | 4% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 7% | 4¢ | 6¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 99¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| $77,750 or above | 3% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 96% | 97¢ | 98¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $58,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $58,250 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $75,750 or above | 6% | 2¢ | 6¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $76,750 or above | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $57,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 99% | 97¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $56,750 or above | 73% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $54,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $57,750 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $55,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $56,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $55,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $680 | Trade → |
This market allows participants to forecast the specific price range of Bitcoin at a precise moment in early 2026. It serves as a sentiment gauge for long-term institutional and retail expectations regarding the world's largest cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin prices are historically influenced by its four-year halving cycle, which constrains new supply, and shifting global macroeconomic conditions. By March 2026, the market will have had sufficient time to digest the post-halving supply dynamics and potential regulatory developments in major financial jurisdictions. This period serves as a critical checkpoint for assessing Bitcoin's maturation as a digital asset class within the global financial system.
The current market price for each outcome reflects the collective expectation of participants, with higher-priced outcomes signaling a stronger consensus for that specific price tier.
The market resolves based on the specific price of Bitcoin at the designated time of 5pm EST on the expiration date, regardless of volatility leading up to or following that moment.
The market relies on the official price data as specified in the contract terms, typically pulled from reliable, aggregated crypto-market index feeds.
The 2026 date falls roughly two years after the 2024 halving, a period historically associated with price discovery as the market adjusts to the reduced supply issuance.
No, trading activity for this contract ceases once the market reaches its expiration time on March 6, 2026.
The contract is settled based on a specific, predefined index provider; while individual exchange prices may vary slightly, the final result is dictated by the designated authoritative price source.