| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,000 or above | 86% | 86¢ | 88¢ | — | $188K | Trade → |
| $68,500 or above | 96% | 96¢ | 99¢ | — | $169K | Trade → |
| $68,250 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $158K | Trade → |
| $68,750 or above | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | — | $146K | Trade → |
| $68,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $125K | Trade → |
| $67,500 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $106K | Trade → |
| $69,250 or above | 68% | 69¢ | 71¢ | — | $105K | Trade → |
| $69,500 or above | 42% | 41¢ | 42¢ | — | $100K | Trade → |
| $67,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $91K | Trade → |
| $67,250 or above | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $76K | Trade → |
| $67,000 or above | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $64K | Trade → |
| $69,750 or above | 19% | 19¢ | 20¢ | — | $51K | Trade → |
| $70,000 or above | 9% | 9¢ | 11¢ | — | $37K | Trade → |
| $66,500 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| $66,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| $66,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| $70,500 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $70,250 or above | 6% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $66,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $65,500 or above | 97% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $70,750 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $65,250 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $65,750 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $65,000 or above | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $71,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $996 | Trade → |
| $72,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $747 | Trade → |
| $71,250 or above | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $587 | Trade → |
| $60,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,750 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $57,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,250 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,250 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,750 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD price of Bitcoin will be at the exact timestamp Mar 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM Eastern Time. It matters because that instantaneous price can reflect short-term macro news, crypto-specific flows, and portfolio rebalancing that traders and hedgers care about.
Bitcoin remains a liquid, globally traded digital asset whose short-term price is influenced by macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, dollar strength), institutional flows (ETFs, custodial inflows/outflows), and on-chain dynamics (exchange reserves, whale activity). Since the market is continuously evolving, events, regulation, and derivatives positioning leading up to late 2025 and early 2026 will shape volatility and liquidity available around the settlement time.
Prediction market odds on this contract aggregate traders' information and risk preferences about where the price will be at that timestamp; treat them as a real-time, tradable summary of market views rather than a guaranteed forecast.
Settlement follows the contract's official rule: the price reported by the data feed or index specified in the Kalshi event terms at precisely 11:00 AM Eastern Time on Mar 2, 2026. Check the event page for the authoritative settlement source and tie-break rules.
Each outcome represents a discrete price bracket or exact-price bucket defined on the event page; a single outcome will be designated as the winner based on which bracket contains the settlement price at the specified timestamp.
Any public information that meaningfully moves the market before 11:00 AM EST can change the settlement price, since settlement uses the official reference at that timestamp; news after 11:00 AM EST will not affect this contract's settlement.
Total volume gives a broad sense of interest but liquidity for a specific outcome depends on order book depth and how volume is distributed across outcomes; review current bid/ask sizes on the event page and consider market impact for large trades.
All operational details—settlement data source, exact timestamp convention, cutoff for trading, and tie-break procedures—are published on the Kalshi event page and in the contract's rules; consult those documents before trading or hedging.