| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to beat: $1.39719 | 18% | 16¢ | 18¢ | — | $143 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of XRP will be higher or lower after a 15-minute interval; it matters because very short windows can be driven by microstructure and trader flows, offering a snapshot of immediate market sentiment.
XRP is a liquid cryptocurrency traded across multiple venues and subject to sharp, short-lived moves from news, large orders, or automated strategies. A 15-minute resolution compresses those drivers into a brief period where intraday order flow and exchange-specific events dominate outcomes.
Prediction market odds here reflect the collective view of active traders and update in real time; for a 15-minute event, those odds primarily capture near-term trading pressure and liquidity conditions rather than longer-term fundamentals.
It covers a continuous 15-minute period defined by the market's official start time; the comparison is between the reference price at the interval start and at the interval end as specified in the market rules.
KALSHI determines outcome by comparing the designated reference price at the beginning and end of the 15-minute window using the price source named in the market description; check that description for the exact feed or exchange used.
The event page lists the market close as TBD; resolution will occur after the defined 15-minute interval ends and KALSHI confirms the reference prices per its resolution procedures—watch the market page for official timestamps.
Because the window is short, low liquidity can make the price more sensitive to single large orders or block trades, increasing the chance of outsized swings that determine the up/down outcome.
If the primary feed is unavailable, KALSHI will follow its contingency and resolution rules, which may include using alternate data sources or applying specific procedures; consult KALSHI's official market rules for exact handling.