| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1.42080 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether XRP will trade at or above $1.42080 within a specific 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short, sharp price moves test intraday volatility and liquidity dynamics for the token.
XRP is a widely traded crypto asset whose short-term price movements respond to exchange order flow, macro crypto trends, and news about Ripple and broader regulation. Fifteen-minute targets focus on transient spikes or dips rather than sustained moves, so outcomes often hinge on high-frequency trading, liquidity at specific exchanges, and time-sensitive announcements. The event is offered on KALSHI and will resolve according to that platform's published settlement procedures.
Market odds on this contract aggregate traders' real-time views about the likelihood of a brief price excursion to the specified level and will move as new information arrives. Use odds as a dynamic signal of collective expectations, not a fixed prediction.
A successful outcome occurs if the official price reference used by KALSHI records XRP trading at or above $1.42080 within the 15-minute measurement window defined in the event's rules; consult KALSHI's settlement specification for the precise quoting method.
The 15-minute window is defined by the timestamps and intervals specified by KALSHI in the event terms; timestamps are typically aligned to the platform's official clock (often UTC) and resolution uses that time anchoring.
Whether a trade print, quoted bid/ask, or index midpoint is used for settlement depends on KALSHI's stated reference method; many short-window markets require an actual trade or consolidated trade feed hit, so check the event's settlement rules.
Operational disruptions can delay resolution or invoke KALSHI's contingency procedures, including fallback pricing or postponement; review the platform's outage and settlement contingency policies for details.
Time-sensitive catalysts include large market orders or liquidations, sudden regulatory or legal announcements regarding Ripple/XRP, listings or delistings on major venues, or rapid market-wide crypto moves that transmit volatility to XRP in that short interval.