| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1.41360 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether XRP will hit the price target of $1.41360 within a specified 15-minute observation window. Short-duration targets like this matter to traders because they isolate intraday volatility and test execution and price-feed mechanics.
XRP is a widely traded cryptocurrency whose intraday price can move quickly on exchange order flow, news, or large trades. Fifteen-minute contracts focus on very short-term price action and therefore are sensitive to market microstructure, liquidity, and any news or announcements that occur around the observation window. The listing is hosted on KALSHI and will resolve according to that platform's published settlement procedures.
Market prices for this contract reflect traders' collective view about the chance that XRP will meet the $1.41360 threshold during the 15-minute window and will update as new information arrives. For short windows, odds can move quickly in response to order flow, exchange data, and real-time news.
It denotes the observation interval used to determine whether XRP reaches the $1.41360 threshold; the precise start and end timestamps and how that window is selected will be specified by the platform and are binding for settlement.
Settlement will use the price feed(s) and aggregation method defined by KALSHI in the event's contract rules; check the event page or KALSHI's documentation for the listed reference exchanges and oracle logic.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the contract's settlement definition (e.g., trade price touch, bid/ask mid-price, or time-weighted measures); consult the event's settlement rules for the exact criterion.
Short windows are vulnerable to brief spikes from large orders or algorithmic activity; some platforms mitigate this via aggregated feeds or data cleaning, but the definitive approach is whatever the event's published settlement methodology prescribes.
The close time is listed as TBD for now; once set, KALSHI will publish the close and post the official settlement result according to its resolution procedures—monitor the event page and platform notifications for updates.