| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1.40860 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether XRP will reach a price target of $1.40860 within a 15-minute interval; it matters because very short-duration targets capture intraday volatility and let traders express views on immediate price moves.
XRP is a widely traded cryptocurrency whose price reacts to exchange order flow, regulatory developments, and broader crypto market trends. Fifteen-minute target contracts are resolved over a single short interval, so outcomes are driven more by liquidity, large orders, and near-term news than by long-term fundamentals.
Market prices represent the collective, real-time expectations about whether the $1.40860 threshold will be reached during the specified 15-minute window; interpret prices as a short-term consensus that can shift rapidly as new information or order flow arrives.
The contract resolves based on the specific 15-minute interval defined in the market rules; platforms typically use contiguous 15-minute candles or a timestamp aligned to UTC on the designated price feed. Consult the event's rule text on KALSHI for the exact interval alignment and any tie-breaking language.
Resolution follows the price feed or exchange(s) specified in the contract's settlement terms on KALSHI. Check the event page or rulebook to see the authoritative data source and whether prices are taken from a single exchange, a composite index, or an aggregated feed.
Whether an instantaneous tick counts depends on how the designated price feed reports prices (trade prints, last price, or aggregated candles). The contract's settlement criteria define whether any trade at or above the target during the interval suffices or if a different criterion applies—refer to the event's resolution rules.
KALSHI's market rules include procedures for data outages, exchange halts, and force majeure events; possible actions include using backup feeds, postponing resolution, or applying dispute-resolution protocols. See the event's terms for the specific outage and settlement procedures that would apply.
For this short-duration target, watch real-time order books and trade prints on major XRP venues, monitor for large limit or market orders near $1.40860, and track breaking news or scheduled announcements that could move prices. Because the window is brief, timely data and low-latency feeds are especially relevant.