| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1.38320 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether XRP will reach the $1.38320 price level during a single 15-minute interval specified by the event. Short-duration price-target markets matter because they isolate microstructural moves and immediate trader sentiment around a specific price level.
XRP is a widely traded cryptocurrency whose short-term price can move quickly on directional momentum, liquidity imbalances, and news related to Ripple, regulatory developments, or macro crypto flows. Historical episodes of rapid intraday moves and exchange-specific liquidity gaps make 15-minute target markets sensitive to execution details and the chosen price feed.
Market odds aggregate traders’ views about the likelihood of the specified 15-minute price event and shift as new information or order flow arrives. Use odds as a real-time gauge of market sentiment, not a guarantee of future price movements.
The event measures whether XRP reaches the specified $1.38320 price level within the single 15-minute window defined by the market; the event’s rules specify whether settlement uses executed trades, last trade price, or a consolidated feed—check the KALSHI event rules for the authoritative definition.
The market operator (KALSHI) will define the exact start and end timestamps for the 15-minute interval in the event details; because this event lists 'Closes: TBD', participants should monitor the event page for the announced interval and any time zone convention (often UTC).
The settlement price source is specified in the event’s rule text on the platform; it can be a single named exchange, a consolidated price index, or a specific data vendor—confirm the listed source on the event page to know which market’s quotes/trades will decide resolution.
Whether a single brief trade qualifies depends on the event’s settlement definition (e.g., whether it requires an executed trade at or above the target or accepts quotes). Review the event rules for the precise criterion used to count a hit within the 15-minute window.
Event rules typically include contingencies for halted trading or unavailable data—common outcomes are delayed resolution until data is available, use of an alternate feed, or cancellation/refund if the operator cannot determine the outcome; check the event’s force-majeure and fallback clauses for specifics.