| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1.38000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether XRP will hit a $1.38000 price level within a specified 15-minute interval. Short-duration targets like this matter because they isolate very near-term price action and liquidity conditions, useful for traders and risk managers gauging short-term volatility.
XRP is a widely traded cryptocurrency whose price has historically reacted to regulatory developments, exchange listings, large token flows, and market-structure events. Fifteen-minute target markets focus on microstructure and news-timing effects rather than longer-term fundamentals; settlement and reference-price definitions are set by the market operator (KALSHI) and should be consulted for this specific event.
Odds in this market represent the aggregation of participant beliefs about whether the $1.38000 level will be met during the designated 15-minute window and will move as new information and order flow arrive. Treat odds as a real-time sentiment indicator, not as a guarantee of outcome.
The market’s outcome depends on the settlement definition in the event rules — typically it requires the reference price to equal or exceed the $1.38000 threshold (or meet the specified condition) during the designated 15-minute interval. Check the official event documentation on KALSHI for the precise settlement criterion used here.
Because this event lists 'Closes: TBD', the exact interval will be defined by the market operator according to the event’s terms. The event page or accompanying rules will specify whether an exact start time is stated in advance or determined at settlement.
Settlement typically uses a named reference price or composite of specified exchanges; the event’s detailed rules identify which feed(s) or exchange(s) are authoritative for this market. Refer to the KALSHI event specification to see the exact price sources.
Whether a single-tick trade counts depends on the settlement rule (e.g., trade price vs. aggregated timestamped price). Some events accept any trade meeting the threshold within the window, while others use averaged or consolidated prices — consult the event’s settlement methodology.
Events that can move the outcome include unexpected regulatory or legal announcements, major exchange order-flow or outages, sudden large OTC/on-chain transfers, listings or delistings, and concentrated algorithmic flows that target round-number levels during the 15-minute window.