| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1.37840 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether XRP will meet or exceed a price target of $1.37840 within a specified 15-minute observation period. It matters because short intraday targets capture immediate volatility and can reflect how news, liquidity, and order flow move the XRP market in a brief time window.
The market is built around the cryptocurrency XRP, which has historically experienced rapid intraday swings tied to regulatory news, liquidity shifts, and broader crypto market moves. This particular contract is time-limited to a 15-minute measurement window; the market listing shows Closes: TBD and KALSHI’s market rules will specify the exact observation window and data source for price determination.
Prediction market prices here should be read as collective market assessment of whether that 15-minute condition will be met, not long-term price forecasts. Resolution depends on whether the platform’s specified price feed or exchange ticks show the target price was reached during the stated 15-minute window.
The 15-minute window is the specific consecutive 15-minute period KALSHI designates in the market’s official details and rulebook; the market resolves based on price activity recorded by the platform’s specified data source during that exact interval.
Edge-case handling (including whether a price at the exact boundary counts) follows KALSHI’s resolution rules; the market’s page and rulebook state whether boundary trades are considered valid for resolution.
That detail is defined in the market’s specification — typically platforms use trade prices or a consolidated exchange feed; consult the event’s resolution section to see which price type is binding.
'Closes: TBD' means the market’s exact listing/closing times have not yet been set or published; $0 volume indicates no trades have occurred yet on the market. Both can change once the market opens or KALSHI updates the schedule.
Look at past short-interval price volatility around similar events: news releases, high-volume trade windows, and low-liquidity periods often produce outsized 15-minute moves; patterns of spike-and-revert behavior are especially pertinent for very short targets.