| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1.36090 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This contract asks whether the XRP market will reach the specified price target of $1.36090 within a 15‑minute measurement interval. Short-duration price-target markets matter because they isolate immediate liquidity and volatility around a precise price level.
XRP is a widely traded crypto asset whose price moves on exchange order flow, liquidity, and news that affects crypto markets or XRP specifically. This event is hosted on KALSHI; at creation it shows no traded volume and the official closing/settlement timing is listed as TBD. Because the contract is tied to a narrow 15‑minute window, short-term events and feed selection can be decisive for resolution.
Market prices on this contract reflect traders’ collective expectations about whether XRP will hit that target during the specified 15‑minute window and will update rapidly as new information arrives. Interpret prices as a real‑time market signal, not a guaranteed prediction; outcome depends on the contract’s published settlement rules and price sources.
Resolution depends on the market’s published rules: typically the contract resolves positively if the official settlement price feed(s) show XRP trading at or above $1.36090 at any point (or an average/quote as defined) within the specified 15‑minute measurement interval. Consult the event’s resolution criteria on KALSHI for the precise definition used.
The exact start and end times for the 15‑minute window are set by the market operator and will be posted on the event page or in platform notices; because the event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', traders should monitor the event page and official announcements for the announced settlement window and any updates.
KALSHI will specify the authoritative price source(s) in the contract’s resolution rules—this could be a consolidated feed or a list of exchanges. Always check the event’s settlement policy to see which data providers and markets are used for determining the price.
Contingency procedures are governed by the platform’s resolution rules. Possible responses include using an alternate feed, excluding the malfunctioning venue, extending or shifting the window, or applying other pre‑specified fallback logic. Review KALSHI’s dispute and contingency policies for details relevant to this contract.
Low volume typically means wider spreads and that individual trades can have outsized price impact; for a 15‑minute target, that increases execution risk and makes the market more sensitive to single large orders or last‑minute news. Traders should account for slippage, limited liquidity, and potentially higher volatility when sizing positions.