| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1.36030 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether XRP will reach the price target $1.36030 within a specified 15-minute measurement period; it matters because short-duration price thresholds can be used for trading, hedging, or event-driven strategies.
XRP is an actively traded cryptocurrency with frequent short-term price swings driven by order flow, liquidity, and news. Markets that measure outcomes over minutes are sensitive to minute-level volatility, exchange price feeds, and market microstructure rather than longer-term fundamentals.
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s evolving view of whether the specified condition will occur; changes in price indicate how participants update that view as new information arrives. For final resolution, rely on the exchange’s published event rules and reported reference price rather than the current market price alone.
Resolution depends on the event's official rules on the KALSHI event page—typically whether the XRP price, as measured by the stated reference source and method, reaches the specified level during the defined 15-minute measurement period. Check the event description for the precise measurement rule (trade vs. quote, inclusive/exclusive thresholds).
The market's close time is listed as TBD; the precise 15-minute window and its start/end times will be defined on the KALSHI event page or by any accompanying announcements. Resolution normally occurs after the measurement window closes once the reference data is confirmed according to KALSHI's rules.
The event page should list the reference exchange(s) or price feed used for resolution; if it does not, KALSHI’s published resolution policy applies. Always confirm the listed source on the event page before trading.
Operational interruptions can delay resolution or trigger contingency rules in KALSHI’s resolution policy. In some cases, the measurement may be moved, extended, or determined using an alternative data source; check KALSHI’s rules and announcements for how they handle such incidents.
Look at minute-level historical price charts and order-book snapshots to understand typical spike frequency, intraday volatility patterns, and how quickly XRP crosses small price thresholds. Prior brief excursions through a price level are informative but not predictive of future events, since minute-level outcomes are highly path-dependent.