| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1.34010 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks whether XRP's market price will reach a target of $1.34010 during any single 15-minute interval as defined by the contract. It matters because it captures short-term expectations about XRP volatility and can inform traders about the likelihood of rapid, intraday price moves.
XRP is an actively traded cryptocurrency whose price can move quickly in response to liquidity shifts, news, and large transactions; 15-minute target contracts are used to test whether brief spikes or dips occur. The contract is listed on KALSHI and resolves based on the platform's designated reference price feed, so the exact data sources and aggregation rules affect outcomes. Historical context for such markets includes flash rallies, exchange-specific spikes, and regulatory events that have produced short-lived price extremes for XRP.
Market odds here reflect the collective view of traders about the chance of a short-duration price event and will adjust as new information appears; they are indicators of expectation, not guarantees of outcome.
A successful outcome occurs if the contract's official reference price reaches the contract-defined target within a single 15-minute interval according to KALSHI's resolution rules; check the event terms to confirm whether reaching, exceeding, or matching the target is required.
The 15-minute interval follows the timestamping convention of the designated reference feed and the contract's specification; it may be a rolling window or fixed blocks, so consult the contract documentation on KALSHI for exact alignment.
Resolution uses KALSHI's specified reference feed or aggregator listed in the event documentation; that page will detail which exchanges or data providers are included and how they are combined.
Only price movements captured by the contract's official reference feed within the 15-minute window count for resolution; isolated spikes on venues not included in that feed typically do not trigger a successful outcome.
The market close time is currently listed as TBD; KALSHI's published resolution and dispute procedures govern handling of ambiguous or conflicting price data, including any verification and appeal processes after the event period.