| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Bien | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Harriet Hageman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chuck Gray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Megan Degenfelder | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Eric Barlow | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will be the Republican nominee for governor of Wyoming. It matters because the nominee determines the party’s direction in the general election and signals which policy priorities and coalitions will be most prominent in the state.
Wyoming is a strongly Republican state where the GOP nomination often shapes the outcome of the governorship; nomination battles can therefore be the decisive election in practice. Nomination processes can vary by year (primary election, party convention, or a combination), and local issues such as energy policy, land use, and rural economic concerns typically play an outsized role.
Market prices reflect traders’ aggregated expectations based on public information and change as new information arrives; they are not guarantees of outcomes but real-time measures of how participants interpret developments in the race.
The market will resolve to whichever individual is officially recognized as the Republican nominee for Wyoming governor according to the resolution source specified on the market page (typically the state party or certified election results). Check the market description for the exact resolution criteria.
The timeline depends on Wyoming’s nomination process for the year in question (primary election dates, party convention deadlines, and certification procedures). Because the market close is listed as TBD, the market will remain open until KALSHI sets a close or until the official nominee is certified per the market’s rules.
Significant candidate changes typically prompt market participants to reprice outcomes; in some cases KALSHI may amend the market, replace outcomes, or follow its stated settlement rules if a listed candidate is removed. Review the market terms for the platform’s specific policies.
Major fundraising reports, high-profile endorsements, official campaign announcements (entry/withdrawal), credible statewide polling, legal developments, and performance in debates or candidate forums are the types of events that tend to cause notable price movement.
Use the market as one real-time indicator of collective expectations while also consulting local polling, news coverage, campaign finance filings, and county-level turnout data to build a fuller picture; markets update quickly to new information but do not replace detailed, on-the-ground reporting.