| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Bradley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Taylor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Maria Lazar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which candidate will win the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat; the outcome matters because the court's composition affects major state legal rulings and policy implementation.
Wisconsin Supreme Court elections are officially nonpartisan but are heavily contested and closely watched because decisions on voting rules, redistricting, and state policy often hinge on the court's balance. Recent contests have drawn substantial outside spending, endorsements, and attention from national groups, so outcomes frequently reflect broader political dynamics and turnout patterns.
Market prices aggregate traders' collective expectations at a point in time and update as new information arrives; use them as a real-time signal of sentiment while consulting the market's contract rules for exact settlement procedures.
The market lists discrete outcomes corresponding to the candidates named on the contract (three outcomes in this listing); consult the market page for the official names and any special wording or settlement definitions.
The listing shows 'Closes: TBD,' so the official close time will be posted by KALSHI on the market page; settlement will follow the market's stated resolution rules and the state's certified election result, with KALSHI providing guidance on timing and any contingencies.
Resolution generally follows the state-certified final result; if recounts or litigation change the certified outcome, the market will resolve according to the contract's rules and the announced certification—review the market's settlement policy for details on ties or special cases.
Polls, fundraising and expenditure reports, major endorsements, candidate withdrawals or scandals, turnout analytics, and court-related news that mobilizes voters are the primary information catalysts for price moves in this market.
Volume indicates liquidity and trader interest: higher volume typically means better ability to enter or exit positions without large price impact, while lower volume can lead to greater price volatility; use volume as one signal alongside other market information.