| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Donald J. Trump's national approval rating will be higher at the end of the defined week than it was at the start. Short-term moves in approval can indicate shifts in public sentiment that affect campaigning, messaging, and political risks.
Presidential approval ratings are measured by public opinion polls and can change quickly in response to news, court rulings, campaign events, or major policy developments. Week-to-week fluctuations are common and often reflect both genuine opinion shifts and sampling variation across polls; interpretation depends on which polls or aggregation method the market uses for settlement.
Market prices aggregate participant views about whether the approval rating will increase under the market's stated resolution criteria; treat prices as a real-time consensus signal rather than a definitive prediction.
The market will resolve based on the start and end dates specified in the event's official rules; consult the event page for the exact timeframe, since resolution depends on those dates.
An 'increase' is determined according to the market's stated resolution metric (for example, a specific poll's point estimate or a named aggregator); check the event description or settlement source to see how the comparison between start and end values is made.
The event's resolution method will name the poll or aggregator used; if the event does not specify, consult the market operator's resolution rules or contact support for clarification before trading.
Yes—if the market's resolution relies on a single named poll and that poll shows a higher rating at the end-of-week measurement, it can determine the outcome; if the market uses an average or aggregator, a single poll is less likely to change the settled result.
Resolution procedures vary: markets may use the nearest available measurement, an alternate agreed source, or follow a void/cancellation policy; refer to the market's official settlement rules for the specific fallback process.