| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 7 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 10 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 15 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks whether Donald Trump will engage in specific public actions or events during the defined timeframe of April 19th through April 25th. It serves as a sentiment gauge for his visibility and influence within the media cycle during a period of high political activity.
As a prominent political figure, Trump’s weekly schedule is often subject to rapid changes driven by legal proceedings, campaign appearances, and digital media engagement. Traders monitor his social media activity, rally schedules, and court appearances to determine if a threshold for 'doing anything' significant is met. This market captures the market's assessment of the likelihood of these events occurring within a discrete seven-day window.
Market prices represent the aggregate expectation of traders regarding the occurrence of these events, where higher prices indicate a stronger consensus that an event will take place.
This market covers events occurring between 12:00 AM UTC on April 19th and 11:59 PM UTC on April 25th.
Criteria are defined by the specific market rules, typically focusing on verifiable public acts such as major social media posts, rally attendance, or court appearances.
Scheduled court dates are primary drivers of market activity, as these events are highly predictable and publicly tracked.
Events must fall strictly within the provided start and end timestamps to be considered for settlement purposes.
Yes, market participants update their positions in real-time as new information, such as campaign updates or news reports, emerges throughout the week.