| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 8 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 9 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 6 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 7 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Donald Trump will take one or more specified public actions during the week of 3/15–3/21; it matters because such actions can affect political narratives, media coverage, and campaign dynamics.
Trump's public activity patterns are influenced by campaign priorities, legal developments, and media strategy, leading to variability in whether he holds events, issues statements, or uses social platforms in any given week. This particular Kalshi listing presents eight listed outcomes that traders use to express expectations about the kinds of actions he might take during that calendar week.
Market quotes aggregate participants' views about which listed outcome will be observed between 3/15 and 3/21; use the contract text and settlement rules to interpret which real-world actions would resolve each outcome.
Resolution follows the market's official contract text and settlement criteria; the listing will specify which types of actions (e.g., public speech, rally, official filing, social-media statement) qualify and how ambiguous cases are handled.
Whether a post qualifies depends on the market's outcome definitions; many markets accept verifiable public statements from official accounts, but you should check the contract description and the exchange’s settlement policy for this event.
The settlement method (for example, first occurrence, any occurrence, or a prioritized list) is defined in the market description; review that text to see how multiple events are handled for this eight-outcome listing.
Kalshi typically relies on verifiable public evidence such as mainstream news reports, official statements, timestamps on public social-media posts, or filings; the market's settlement notes will identify accepted sources and the dispute process.
The market page will list the precise start and close timestamps and the time zone used; '3/15–3/21' usually denotes calendar dates inclusive, but confirm the exchange’s posted times to know the exact settlement window.