| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks whether Mamdani will issue an executive order during the specified week. It serves as a gauge for political activity and the official’s legislative or administrative agenda.
Executive orders are tools used by officials to direct agency action or implement policy without immediate legislative approval. The timing of such actions is often tied to political strategy, responding to current events, or fulfilling campaign promises. This market captures the market's expectation of whether the conditions for such an order will align within this short timeframe.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of observers regarding Mamdani's immediate policy intentions and the likelihood of administrative action occurring before the deadline.
An executive order is a formal, signed directive from the official that mandates specific actions by government departments or agencies.
The market resolves to 'No' if no order is signed within the specific calendar timeframe defined by the contract.
If the official does not issue or sign an executive order during the designated period, the contract resolves to 'No.'
Official resolutions are typically published on the office's government portal or via formal press announcements.
Unless otherwise specified, all official executive orders issued by the office that meet the formal definition count toward the resolution of this market.