| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before 2027 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether at least one current Republican member of the U.S. Congress will publicly call for the impeachment of Donald Trump. The outcome signals intra‑party dynamics and can affect political debate, messaging, and legislative relationships within and across chambers.
Historically, calls for presidential impeachment are uncommon and politically consequential; Donald Trump faced two House impeachment votes during his presidency, and some Republicans have at times broken with party leadership on impeachment-related matters. Whether new calls emerge depends on evolving legal developments, investigative findings, and shifting political incentives among Republican members.
Market prices aggregate real-time information, news, and trader expectations; movement typically reflects new public statements, legal milestones, or shifts in party leadership and voter sentiment. Treat prices as a continuously updated summary of collective judgment, not a fixed prediction.
For this market, a qualifying call is a public, attributable statement by a sitting Republican member of the U.S. Congress explicitly calling for Donald Trump to be impeached. Typical forms that count include press releases, floor speeches, public social media posts, interviews, or the formal introduction or co‑sponsorship of an impeachment resolution. Private or off‑the‑record expressions to colleagues generally do not qualify unless later made public.
Yes. The phrase refers to current members of the U.S. Congress in either chamber who are affiliated with the Republican Party at the time of the statement. Both House members and senators are treated as eligible to make a qualifying public call.
Yes. The formal filing or sponsorship of an impeachment resolution by a current Republican member is a clear, public action that would be considered a call for impeachment and thus meet the event’s criteria.
What matters is the member’s status and party affiliation at the time of the public call. A statement made while the lawmaker was a sitting Republican member of Congress would count even if they later change party or leave office; statements made after they are no longer a Republican member would not qualify.
With the close date not yet set, the market remains open and will resolve based on whether a qualifying call occurs before the operator-defined closing time once it is announced. Traders should monitor official market rules and operator announcements because final determination and settlement follow the platform’s stated event definitions and adjudication procedures.