| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ekrem İmamoğlu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fatih Erbakan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ahmet Davutoğlu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sinan Oğan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ümit Özdağ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ali Babacan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Muharrem İnce | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mansur Yavaş | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Müsavat Dervişoğlu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will win the next Turkish presidential election and aggregates trader expectations about that outcome. It matters because the identity of the next president will shape Turkey's domestic policy, economy, and foreign relations.
Turkey's president is elected by popular vote under a system that has recently produced competitive races, coalition-building, and occasional runoffs when no candidate reaches the required threshold. Recent electoral cycles have been influenced by economic performance, security issues, and shifting political alliances. These structural and contextual elements are likely to remain central in the next election.
Market prices reflect the collective information and beliefs of traders and update as new data, polls, and events arrive. Use them alongside polls, expert analysis, and official announcements as one input into the evolving electoral picture.
The market close is listed as TBD; the platform will publish a specific close time and settlement rules for this contract. Traders should check the market page for the official close time and note that settlement typically follows official election results and any required certification or legal resolution.
This market contains ten listed outcomes; the names for each outcome appear on the market page. If you need the current roster of candidates or named options, consult the live market listing because outcome names can be added or edited by the market creator prior to closure.
Settlement is governed by the contract's specific rules, which define whether the market pays on a first-round plurality, a runoff winner, or the individual ultimately certified as president. Always read the contract description to confirm which stage of the process determines the winning outcome.
Runoffs and endorsements can materially shift expectations because they change the set of viable coalitions and voter choices; markets typically update quickly to reflect such developments. Traders should monitor endorsement announcements and runoff pairings, as they often drive rapid repricing.
Delays or legal disputes can postpone settlement; platforms typically wait for official certification from the relevant electoral authority and follow predefined rules about how long to wait and what evidence is required. Check the market's settlement policy for details on how such contingencies are handled.