| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Grosu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dorin Recean | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Natalia Gavrilița | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alexandr Stoianoglo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ion Ceban | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Igor Dodon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Evghenia Gutul | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will win the next Moldovan presidential election, letting traders express expectations about the eventual victor. The outcome matters because the president influences Moldova's foreign policy, national security posture, and political balance at home.
Moldova is a parliamentary republic where the president plays an important role in foreign affairs, defence, and appointments; recent elections have been shaped by competition between pro‑European and pro‑Russian political forces, economic challenges, and a large diaspora electorate. Domestic polarization, coalition dynamics in parliament, and regional geopolitics have repeatedly influenced presidential contests and campaign messaging.
Market prices aggregate participants’ expectations about which candidate will be declared the official winner; they update as new information arrives but do not guarantee outcomes. Treat prices as real‑time indicators that can change quickly around events like vote counts, legal rulings, or major campaign developments.
This market will close in line with the platform’s timetable and the election timeline; the winning outcome will be the candidate officially declared the winner by Moldova’s electoral authorities after any required rounds and after official certification.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific candidate named on the market and resolves in favor of the candidate officially declared the winner. If a listed candidate withdraws, platform rules determine whether that outcome is removed, voided, or kept; check the market rules or announcements for this event for details.
If the election proceeds to a runoff, the market will ultimately resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the final winner after all required rounds and certification; interim round results do not determine final settlement unless the market explicitly specifies otherwise.
Yes; diaspora and absentee ballots can be counted after in‑country tallies and at times have altered final results. Markets may react as counting progresses, but the event resolves based on the official, certified final result.
Rapid movements commonly follow major developments such as official vote counts or reversals, prominent endorsements or coalition shifts, legal challenges or disqualifications, security incidents or geopolitical shocks, and major campaign revelations that alter voter expectations.