| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahamudu Bawumia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alan Kyerematen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Haruna Iddrisu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cassiel Ato Forson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Asiedu Nketia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which candidate will win the next Ghanaian presidential election; it matters because election outcomes determine Ghana's leadership and policy direction and are closely watched by markets and international partners.
Ghana is a long-standing multiparty democracy in West Africa with regular presidential elections and a history of peaceful transfers of power between major parties. The political landscape is shaped by party primaries, coalition-building, regional voting patterns, and current economic and governance issues that influence voter decisions.
Market odds here represent the aggregated beliefs of traders about who will be declared the official winner and can change as new information (polls, campaign events, legal rulings) becomes available; they are not guarantees but a real-time signal of perceived likelihood.
This market's official close time is listed as TBD; check the Kalshi platform for updates because the closing time will be set and announced there ahead of settlement.
The market contains six discrete outcome options representing possible winners (as defined on the Kalshi event page); consult the event page on Kalshi for the current list of named outcomes and their descriptions.
Settlement will follow the official electoral process: if a runoff is required under Ghanaian law, the market will be settled according to the candidate officially certified as the winner after any legally required runoff and certification by the Ghanaian authorities.
Settlement is based on the officially certified results from the Ghana Electoral Commission and any subsequent legally binding determinations; official certification and final legal outcomes are the reference for settlement.
Legal challenges or recounts can delay official certification and therefore delay settlement until a final, legally recognized winner is declared; the market will not settle until the outcome is certified according to the event's settlement rules.