| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadiq Khan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Georgia Gould | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mete Coban | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| David Lammy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rosena Allin-Khan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Cleverly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Laila Cunningham | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zack Polanski | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be declared Mayor of London after the 2028 election; it matters because the mayor controls major city powers (transport, policing, planning) and the market aggregates real-time expectations about the likely winner.
The Mayor of London is an elected executive role created in 2000; past elections have swung between parties and reflected both local issues and broader national political trends. The 2028 contest will be shaped by the incumbent's decision to run or step down, party nominations, and developments on housing, transport and public safety in the capital.
Market prices reflect traders' aggregated information and expectations and update as news, polls, and campaign events occur; treat prices as a dynamic signal of relative market sentiment rather than a fixed forecast.
The event page currently shows a close date of TBD; markets typically set a close before or at the official close of polls and resolve according to the market's rulebook once the official winner is declared—check the event page for updates and resolution rules.
Each outcome corresponds to a distinct label shown on the market (usually individual candidates or grouped categories such as 'Other'); consult the market’s outcome list to see which names or categories are included.
An incumbent running typically changes the competitive landscape by adding a candidate with an existing record and recognition; if the incumbent stands down, the race may widen and markets will adjust as parties select new nominees.
National party fortunes, government policy decisions, and major UK political events commonly shift voter sentiment in London and are incorporated quickly by traders into this market’s prices.
Resolution follows the market's published rules and typically aligns with the official declared winner after counting and immediate recounts; withdrawals or late entries are reflected by updating the outcome list or by specific rule provisions—review the event rules for exact treatment.