| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oh Se-hoon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chong Won-o | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Park Ju-min | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seo Young-kyo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kim Min-seok | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Na Kyung-won | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, offering a way to aggregate public expectations about the city’s next leader. It matters because Seoul’s mayor has significant influence over national politics, urban policy, and local economic conditions.
Seoul’s mayoral contests have historically reflected broader national political trends and can signal shifts in party strength ahead of national elections. Incumbency, party organization, regional voting patterns, and high-profile local issues have all shaped past outcomes. Turnout dynamics and alliances among parties and high-profile figures also frequently change the competitive landscape.
Market prices represent the collective assessment of participants about which named outcome will be declared the official winner; they update as new information arrives. Use them as a real-time indicator of changing expectations, not as certainties—markets can move quickly in response to campaign events, polling, or legal developments.
Resolution depends on the exchange’s rules and the official certification of the election winner; markets typically resolve after an officially declared winner is confirmed and any major legal challenges affecting the result are settled.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific named candidate listed on the market page; check the market interface for the current list of the six named contenders and any changes the exchange has posted.
Significant legal events can delay market resolution and may change which candidate is eligible to be declared the winner; the market will follow the exchange’s published resolution policy in such cases and may stay open until the official outcome is final.
Consider past trends such as the impact of national party popularity on local races, the advantage of prominent incumbents or well-known challengers, and how turnout shifts in different districts have influenced prior results.
Market outcomes are set by the exchange at creation; additions or changes are generally handled by creating new markets or by exchange-specific adjustments, so consult the market page or exchange notices for any updates.