| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iliana Yotova | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nataliya Kiselova | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yanaki Stoilov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Krum Zarkov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nikolai Denkov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Blagomir Kotsev | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rosen Zhelyazkov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atanas Atanasov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kostadin Kostadinov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vasil Terziev | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be elected president of Bulgaria in 2026; it matters because the presidency influences foreign policy posture, symbolic leadership, and public debate in a country with fragmented party politics.
Bulgaria uses a two-round presidential system: if no candidate obtains an outright majority in the first round, the top two proceed to a runoff. Recent Bulgarian politics have been shaped by party fragmentation, coalition governments, and debates over EU, NATO, and relations with Russia, all of which tend to shape presidential campaigns and voter preferences.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective expectations about who will ultimately hold the presidency and update as new information arrives; they are one input among polls, news, and on-the-ground reporting rather than definitive forecasts.
The market's official close date is listed on the market page and currently shows TBD; check the market page or platform announcements for the definitive closing time and any changes.
Because Bulgaria typically uses a runoff between the top two first-round finishers, this market is resolved by the eventual winner of the election after all rounds are completed; platform resolution rules will specify how interim outcomes are treated.
Outcomes generally list named individual candidates, possibly an 'other candidate' option, and sometimes a vacancy or void result; consult the market page for the exact outcome labels and any rules about late additions or substitutions.
Key signals include major party endorsements, coalition or elite alignments, polling shifts between rounds, high-profile debates or scandals, turnout estimates, and developments in foreign-policy issues that resonate with voters.
Resolution in that case depends on the platform’s market rules — some markets substitute outcomes, settle to an 'other' option, or follow official candidate lists; check the market’s rules and announcements for how withdrawals are handled for this specific event.