| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus King | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Catherine Cortez Masto | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chuck Schumer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Fetterman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacky Rosen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Maggie Hassan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Warner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Susan Collins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tim Kaine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Coons | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jeanne Shaheen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lisa Murkowski | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Patty Murray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Thom Tillis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dick Durbin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Amy Klobuchar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bernie Sanders | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Murphy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mike Lee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ron Johnson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rand Paul | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rick Scott | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mitch McConnell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Hickenlooper | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which senator or voting bloc will cast a vote for the next government funding bill in the U.S. Senate. The outcome matters because those votes determine whether federal programs remain funded, whether a continuing resolution or shutdown occurs, and which policy riders or concessions become law.
Senate funding votes recur whenever Congress must pass appropriations or a continuing resolution; outcomes often reflect negotiations between party leadership, committee chairs, and rank-and-file senators. Historically, funding bills can pass via bipartisan coalitions, narrowly along party lines, or through last-minute deals that change the vote tally shortly before the roll call.
Prediction market prices aggregate public information and traders' expectations about which senators will vote a certain way; they are indicators of market sentiment rather than definitive forecasts. Interpret movements in the context of news, liquidity, and whether the market has low trading volume (which can make signals less stable).
Outcomes commonly list individual senators, named coalitions (e.g., party caucuses or bipartisan blocs), or outcome categories defined by the market creator; check the event's outcome list to see the exact options created for this market.
An amendment can change senators' incentives and therefore their voting intentions; markets update as traders incorporate new information, but the event resolution will follow the market's original outcome definitions, so confirm how the market treats amended bills and whether new related events are created.
'TBD' means the market creator has not yet set a firm closing time; the market may close at a specified time before the Senate roll call, at the time of the roll call, or after resolution depending on the event rules—watch the event page for updates and announcements from the market operator.
Whip counts and leadership statements are actionable signals: reported changes in who is committed to vote can shift trader expectations and thus market prices. Treat those moves as one input among others—verify sources, consider trading volume, and watch for corroborating developments (formal statements, amendments, or procedural motions).
Yes—history shows last‑minute negotiations, pressure from leadership, and external events sometimes flip votes shortly before a roll call. Because of that possibility, markets can change quickly near deadlines; low-liquidity markets may underreact or overreact, so combine market signals with up-to-the-minute reporting and official vote tallies when making decisions.