| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Hegseth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Edmundo González Urrutia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| María Corina Machado | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dan Caine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dinorah Figuera | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Richard Grenell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| JD Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Karoline Leavitt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ John Ratcliffe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Keir Starmer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Emmanuel Macron | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nicolás Maduro | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jared Kushner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jamie Dimon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Charles Myers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Larry Fink | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bill Ackman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Javier Milei | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephen Miller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which listed individual will make a visit to Venezuela before May; the outcome signals potential diplomatic engagement or shifts in international relations. Such visits can affect policy signals, sanctions dynamics, and market sentiment about regional stability.
Venezuela has been a focal point of regional and global diplomacy because of its political polarization, economic challenges, and sanctions from multiple countries. High-profile visits have historically coincided with negotiations, changes in recognition or aid flows, and efforts to mediate crises. Travel by foreign officials is constrained by bilateral relations, legal restrictions, and security or logistical concerns.
Market prices reflect collective judgment about who is most likely to visit given available information and will change as news arrives. They are tools for gauging expectations, not guarantees of outcome; always check primary-source confirmations for final resolution.
It means any qualifying visit that occurs on or before the final day of April (i.e., prior to the start of May), subject to the market's official cutoff time; check the event page or rules for the exact timestamp used for resolution.
Outcomes are set by the market creator and typically list named individuals and any special options (such as 'none of the above'); each outcome represents a specific person whose visit would resolve that option if the market's verification criteria are met.
Qualifying visits are resolved according to the platform's stated rules and usually require verifiable public evidence of the person entering Venezuela and engaging in an official or publicly reported meeting or event; private transits or unconfirmed reports may not meet the standard.
Transit without disembarkation typically does not qualify as a visit; resolution relies on the market's documentation standards, which generally require physical entry into the country and corroborating public reports or official statements.
Monitor official statements from foreign ministries and presidential offices, reputable international and regional news outlets, announcements from multilateral organizations, and verified social-media accounts of the individuals involved; prioritize primary-source confirmations for final resolution.