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Politics OPEN

Who will visit the White House before 2027?

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Active Markets
29
Markets
40

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All Outcomes (40)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Eric Adams 0%
$0 Trade →
Jeff Bezos 0%
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Joe Biden 0%
$0 Trade →
Mark Carney 0%
$0 Trade →
Tucker Carlson 0%
$0 Resolved
Ron DeSantis 0%
$0 Resolved
Tim Cook 0%
$0 Resolved
Marjorie Taylor Greene 0%
$0 Trade →
Jensen Huang 0%
$0 Trade →
Sean Hannity 0%
$0 Resolved
Hakeem Jeffries 0%
$0 Trade →
Bill Maher 0%
$0 Trade →
Zohran Mamdani 0%
$0 Resolved
Elon Musk 0%
$0 Trade →
Benjamin Netanyahu 0%
$0 Resolved
Laura Loomer 0%
$0 Resolved
Barack Obama 0%
$0 Trade →
Vladimir Putin 0%
$0 Trade →
Joe Rogan 0%
$0 Trade →
Cristiano Ronaldo 0%
$0 Trade →
Ted Sarandos 0%
$0 Resolved
Gretchen Whitmer 0%
$0 Resolved
Xi Jinping 0%
$0 Trade →
Chuck Schumer 0%
$0 Resolved
Mark Zuckerberg 0%
$0 Trade →
Gavin Newsom 0%
$0 Trade →
Pope Leo XIV 0%
$0 Trade →
Jerome Powell 0%
$0 Trade →
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 0%
$0 Trade →
Claudia Sheinbaum 0%
$0 Trade →
Dario Amodei 0%
$0 Trade →
Sam Altman 0%
$0 Trade →
Abiy Ahmed 0%
$0 Trade →
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi 0%
$0 Trade →
María Corina Machado 0%
$0 Resolved
Bola Ahmed Tinubu 0%
$0 Trade →
Hun Manet 0%
$0 Trade →
Anutin Charnvirakul 0%
$0 Trade →
Reza Pahlavi 0%
$0 Trade →
Joseph Aoun 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which of 39 named individuals will make an in-person visit to the White House before 2027; it matters because such visits are visible signals of access, influence, and policy priorities.

White House visits have long served as tools for diplomatic signaling, legislative bargaining, public-relations events, and formal policy meetings. Who is invited and when depends on the president's agenda, the domestic and international calendar, and unfolding news such as elections, crises, or scheduled state visits.

Market prices reflect traders' collective assessment of who is most likely to visit given current information; they update as new announcements or events occur but are not guarantees. Always consult the market's contract language for the exact settlement criteria.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

How does this market define a 'visit' for settling outcomes?

The event's contract specifies the settling definition; markets like this typically require an in-person appearance on White House grounds or participation in a White House-hosted event documented by credible sources. Check the market's settlement rules on the platform for the definitive definition.

Does 'before 2027' include December 31, 2026, as the cutoff?

Cutoff dates are set in the market contract. 'Before 2027' is commonly interpreted as any date prior to January 1, 2027 (including December 31, 2026), but you should confirm the precise deadline in the market's official terms.

What types of people are among the 39 listed outcomes?

The listed outcomes typically include elected officials, foreign leaders, prominent activists or advocates, public figures or celebrities, and other high-profile private citizens. Consult the market page for the exact names included in this event.

If someone participates in a public White House event but does not enter the residence or Oval Office, will that count?

Resolution depends on the contract's visit definition; many markets count any verified in-person presence at an official White House event or on White House grounds, but you should review the event's settlement criteria and accepted evidence standards.

Which real-world developments typically move prices for this market?

Official invitations or confirmations, scheduling announcements, White House press releases, travel itineraries for foreign dignitaries, credible reporting of planned meetings, and legal or health developments affecting an individual are the most common drivers of price movement.

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