| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bezos | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Giorgia Meloni | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ron DeSantis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Byron Donalds | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| James Fishback | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jensen Huang | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Sean Hannity | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which named individuals will make an in-person visit to Mar-a-Lago before 2027; outcomes correspond to specific potential visitors. These visits can signal political alignments, fundraising activity, or access to a high-profile private venue, so the market aggregates public expectations about those signals.
Mar-a-Lago is a private club and the Florida residence of a former U.S. president that has long hosted political, social, and fundraising events; visits by public figures attract media and can carry political significance. Historically, politicians, donors, foreign visitors, and media figures have been reported attending events there, and announced appearances or leaks have moved public perception. The listed outcomes represent named individuals suspected or rumored to be potential visitors; resolution depends on verifiable in-person presence before the stated cutoff.
Market odds reflect the collective judgment of traders based on available information and update as news arrives; they are an indication of perceived likelihood, not a guarantee. Use shifts in prices as a real-time signal of changing expectations driven by scheduling, announcements, or new evidence.
A visit generally means the named individual is physically present on Mar-a-Lago property in person before the market cutoff; virtual appearances, offsite statements, or mentions do not count. Always check the market's official rules for any specific resolution criteria.
The phrase sets the cutoff: only visits that occur prior to January 1, 2027, (i.e., in 2026 or earlier) are eligible for counting. Events occurring on or after the first day of 2027 would not satisfy this market's time window.
Yes—if the individual is verifiably present on the property. Resolution typically relies on credible public evidence such as photos, official guest lists, or reliable media reports identifying the person.
Scheduled event postings, press releases, attendees’ social-media confirmations, travel itineraries, campaign or donor event calendars, and credible reporting or leaked guest lists are primary drivers of market movement.
Yes; legal obligations (court dates, restrictions), security concerns, or official travel limitations can deter or prevent visits, and news about such developments is likely to change market expectations.