| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Bill Clinton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Hillary Clinton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sam Altman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jon Stewart | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jerome Powell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jelly Roll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anthony Fauci | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shou Zi Chew | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Pete Hegseth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor Swift | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ghislaine Maxwell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barack Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Donaldson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which named person or entity will testify before a U.S. congressional committee during calendar year 2026. It matters because who testifies can affect oversight outcomes, public narratives, and political dynamics during an important election cycle year.
Congressional testimony is a routine oversight tool used by House and Senate committees to gather facts, hold officials accountable, and inform legislation; witnesses may appear voluntarily or under subpoena. High-profile testimony often follows investigations, legal developments, or politically significant events, and 2026 is a midterm year when committee agendas and witness lists may be especially politically charged. Market participants will watch official committee schedules, subpoena activity, and legal developments for signals.
Market prices aggregate trader expectations about who will appear and update as new public information (hearing announcements, subpoenas, court rulings) becomes available. Treat prices as a continuously updating signal rather than a guarantee — check official congressional records for definitive outcomes.
Settlement is typically based on whether a named individual gave on-the-record testimony before a House or Senate committee or subcommittee during calendar year 2026 as documented in official committee transcripts, video records, or authoritative committee announcements; check the market's specific settlement rules for exact sources used.
Each named outcome is evaluated independently: if a listed person actually provides on-the-record testimony in the hearing, that individual's outcome is considered to have occurred; simultaneous testimony does not typically negate individual outcomes.
Fast-moving triggers include formal hearing announcements, committee subpoenas or service of process, public confirmations that a person has accepted or refused an invitation, court rulings affecting a witness’s ability to appear, and major legal developments (indictments, pleas, or settlements).
A postponement that moves testimony outside calendar year 2026 would usually remove that appearance from counting for this market; if a hearing is delayed but still occurs in 2026, the market will update to reflect the new timing. Always consult the market's stated closing and settlement rules for edge cases.
The clearest qualifying events are public, on-the-record depositions or witness appearances before House or Senate committees or subcommittees (including select committees). Private depositions or informal floor statements that are not part of a committee hearing generally do not meet the typical standard; verify with the market's official settlement criteria.