| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Booker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hunter Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gavin Newsom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Shapiro | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Buttigieg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wes Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephen A. Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andy Beshear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| J.B. Pritzker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Fetterman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michelle Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Cuban | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Roy Cooper | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Raphael Warnock | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tim Walz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Kelly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jared Polis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jon Stewart | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rahm Emanuel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barack Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dean Phillips | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phil Murphy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Van Hollen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elissa Slotkin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Abigail Spanberger | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jon Ossoff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Murphy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ruben Gallego | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ro Khanna | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mikie Sherrill | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individuals will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 and matters because early expectations about entrants shape fundraising, media attention, and strategic positioning ahead of the primary season.
Presidential fields are shaped by whether an incumbent seeks reelection, the outcomes of prior election cycles, and intra‑party dynamics such as ideological currents and coalition shifts. Historically, potential candidates emerge in stages—speculation, exploratory activity, formal announcements—and those steps, plus endorsements and fundraising, influence who ultimately enters the race.
Market prices aggregate traders’ real‑time judgments about who will run; they move when new information arrives and should be used as one input among polls, news, and campaign signals rather than as a definitive forecast.
If an incumbent president announces a run, markets typically reflect a narrower field because challengers inside the party are less likely to enter; if the incumbent declines to run, the market usually becomes more open as more names become plausible entrants.
The listed outcomes correspond to specific individuals (and possibly catchall options) that market creators identified as plausible entrants based on reporting and speculation; each outcome tracks whether that particular person is judged to run under the market’s settlement rules.
Formal campaign announcements, FEC filings, major fundraising disclosures, high‑profile endorsements, and clear statements of non‑candidacy or withdrawal typically cause the largest and quickest price shifts.
Settlement criteria vary by market, so check the event’s specific definitions; some markets require an official campaign filing or public declaration while others may treat exploratory committees as sufficient—read the event rules before trading.
Use the market as a real‑time consensus measure of trader expectations, polls to gauge public support, and news for qualitative context (statements, staff hires, legal or health developments); weigh liquidity and recent news flow, and treat the market as one of several information sources rather than a sole predictor.