| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Waltz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lee Zeldin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jamieson Greer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sean Duffy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scott Turner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Susie Wiles | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Doug Collins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kelly Loeffler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Russell Vought | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Kratsios | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Hegseth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brooke Rollins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Doug Burgum | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Ratcliffe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Howard Lutnick | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scott Bessent | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Linda McMahon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pam Bondi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Wright | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which member of President Trump's Cabinet will be the next to leave their post. Cabinet departures can signal shifts in administration priorities, affect policy execution, and influence political narratives.
Cabinet turnover is a normal feature of modern presidencies and can result from resignations, firings, appointments to other posts, health reasons, or political strategy. Some portfolios are more exposed to public scrutiny and therefore historically see higher turnover. This specific market lists 23 named outcomes and has a close date labeled TBD.
Market prices summarize traders' collective judgments about which official is likely to depart next and update as news arrives. They are not predictions of certainty but indicators of how the market is interpreting available information and risk.
Departures that vacate a Cabinet seat—such as resignations, firings, removals, or appointments to other positions—typically count; the exchange's official settlement rules determine qualifying events and edge cases.
Settlement follows the platform's timestamp and tie-resolution rules; in many markets the officially confirmed earliest public announcement determines the outcome, but traders should consult the exchange's tie-break policy for this market.
Inclusion of acting or interim officials depends on how the market creator defined outcomes; check the market's outcome list to see which specific individuals are eligible.
A TBD close means the market remains open until the platform sets a final close or a specified trigger occurs; traders should monitor the market page for updates and the official close time before settlement rules apply.
Rapid moves typically reflect traders incorporating new information—official statements and verified reports have the largest impact—while unverified rumors may trigger volatile short-term swings until confirmed or refuted.