| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenSea | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MetaMask | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exponent | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Backpack | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Base | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Rainbow | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Fomo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tempo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phantom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Felix | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Abstract | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rabby | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Unit | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ostium | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Arc | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| CME Group | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which named project or entity will launch a crypto token during the current calendar year; it matters because token launches can change project economics, governance, and market dynamics for supporters and competitors.
The crypto ecosystem sees frequent token launches from startups, decentralized projects, and established companies, often tied to fundraising, governance, or product roadmaps. Recent years have also brought increased regulatory scrutiny and exchange listing requirements, which influence timing and feasibility; this market lists 16 specific potential issuers under consideration.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective view about which listed entity is most likely to announce or distribute a token within the year; prices update as new public information (roadmaps, filings, hires, legal developments) arrives and as trader sentiment shifts.
The event uses the current calendar year as the relevant timeframe; final resolution timing and the exact cut-off will follow the market’s published settlement rules on the event page, so check that page for any updates about close or resolution windows.
Resolution typically depends on the event’s specific criteria—commonly a public announcement plus token issuance, distribution, or listing—so consult the event’s official resolution language on the platform to see which actions qualify as a launch.
Each tradeable outcome corresponds to a single listed entity; if more than one launches, the market will resolve according to its rules (often only the named winning outcome that meets the criteria resolves as true); for exact mechanics see the market’s settlement rules on the event page.
If none meet the event’s stated launch criteria by the resolution date, the market will resolve according to its stated contingency (for example a 'no outcome' resolution or cancellation); the event page and platform rules will describe how such cases are handled.
Track official communications from the named projects (blogs, press releases, verified social media), regulatory filings and statements, smart contract repositories and audit reports, and exchange listing news—those sources typically provide the signals that change market expectations for this event.