| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Bowman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anna Paulson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christopher Waller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephen Miran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lorie Logan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lisa Cook | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philip Jefferson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Williams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Barr | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Neel Kashkari | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Beth Hammack | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jerome Powell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which FOMC participant will register a recorded dissent at the March 2026 FOMC meeting. Dissenting votes reveal internal disagreement about the Committee's policy path and can signal how individual policymakers view inflation, employment, and risks to the economy.
The Federal Open Market Committee meets regularly to set monetary policy and publishes a statement that records any dissenting votes; those dissents are closely watched by markets and analysts. Historically, dissents are relatively rare but meaningful, and they tend to come from members who have expressed persistent disagreement on policy direction in speeches, votes, or statements. The March meeting typically follows winter economic releases and bank commentary that can shift member views.
Market prices here reflect the collective expectations about which named participant will be recorded as dissenting at the March 2026 meeting and will adjust as new data, Fed communications, or roster changes occur. Treat those prices as a real-time aggregation of market participants’ views rather than a definitive prediction of policy outcomes.
A dissent is a recorded vote by an FOMC participant that is formally noted in the Committee’s official statement or minutes as disagreeing with the policy decision taken at the March 2026 meeting. Settlement will follow the market’s stated reliance on the Fed’s official record; check the market rules for precise settlement language.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event page; the final settlement will be based on the official FOMC materials released after the March 2026 meeting. Refer to the event page and the platform’s settlement policy for exact closing and settlement timing.
Voting eligibility can change because of the rotating regional Fed presidency schedule, new appointments or resignations of Fed governors, or other roster adjustments; any change in who is eligible to vote directly affects who can legally register a dissent at the March meeting and therefore should be monitored.
Historical patterns are informative: some members have a track record of dissenting more often and public statements provide clues about their policy leanings. Use those patterns alongside current macro data, recent speeches, and the present voting roster rather than relying on history alone.
Monitor U.S. inflation and employment releases (CPI, PCE, payrolls), FOMC meeting calendar and official statements, speeches and testimonies by Fed governors and Reserve Bank presidents, and announcements about appointments or roster changes; developments in financial stability or major economic shocks are also relevant.