| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $3.550 | 4% | 4¢ | 7¢ | — | $402K | Trade → |
| Above $3.580 | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $382K | Trade → |
| Above $3.520 | 15% | 13¢ | 15¢ | — | $231K | Trade → |
| Above $3.490 | 51% | 50¢ | 51¢ | — | $183K | Trade → |
| Above $3.400 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $147K | Trade → |
| Above $3.370 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $90K | Trade → |
| Above $3.460 | 95% | 95¢ | 97¢ | — | $88K | Trade → |
| Above $3.340 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $70K | Trade → |
| Above $3.280 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $38K | Trade → |
| Above $3.310 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $33K | Trade → |
| Above $3.430 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| Above $3.220 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| Above $3.250 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Above $3.190 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Above $3.330 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Above $3.110 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Above $3.120 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Above $3.290 | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Above $3.160 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Above $3.320 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Above $3.130 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Above $3.000 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Above $2.980 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Above $3.030 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Above $3.010 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Above $3.090 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Above $3.100 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Above $2.990 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Above $3.300 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Above $3.020 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Above $3.050 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Above $3.060 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Above $3.070 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Above $3.080 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Above $3.040 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
This market allows participants to forecast the national average retail price of regular gasoline in the United States for the current week. It serves as a sentiment-driven indicator for short-term energy cost fluctuations, which directly impact household budgets and inflationary expectations.
US gas prices are subject to complex variables, including global crude oil benchmarks, refinery capacity, and seasonal supply chain shifts. Historically, prices fluctuate due to geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions, domestic seasonal demand changes, and inventory levels reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding the average retail price, reflecting real-time reactions to economic data and energy sector updates.
This market typically relies on the official retail gasoline price index or the national average as reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
This market tracks the weekly average price to smooth out daily volatility and provide a representative measure for the week in question.
Sudden refinery outages reduce the supply of finished gasoline, which can cause retail price spikes even if crude oil prices remain stable.
Short-term prices are highly reactive to fluctuations in commodity futures, changes in consumer demand, and logistical bottlenecks in fuel distribution.
Yes, volatility often increases during the transition between winter and summer blend fuel requirements or during peak summer driving and holiday travel seasons.