| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Warsh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jerome Powell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philip Jefferson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Williams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christopher Waller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Judy Shelton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michelle Bowman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephen Miran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will chair the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in June. The identity of the chair matters because the presiding official sets meeting procedures and can influence how policy discussions are framed, which market participants watch closely.
The FOMC meets on a regular schedule set by the Federal Reserve; the committee is normally chaired by the Fed Chair, but an alternate or acting official may preside if the Chair is unavailable. Leadership changes, interim appointments, health-related absences, or other administrative decisions can produce uncertainty about who will actually preside at a specific meeting.
Prices in this market reflect the crowd’s synthesis of public reporting, official schedules, and expectations about Fed leadership and absences; they should be interpreted as real-time expressions of market belief, not as official Fed statements or guarantees.
Resolution follows the exchange’s stated rules and the event’s resolution source; in practice the market typically resolves once it is publicly clear who is presiding at the start of the June FOMC meeting (for example, via an official Fed communication or the start of the meeting). Check the platform’s market page for the specific resolution rule and any final determination timing.
‘Chairing’ generally means the individual who formally presides over the meeting’s sessions. If an acting or interim official opens and runs the meeting, that person is typically considered the chair for resolution purposes; final determinations follow the exchange’s resolution criteria.
Credible announcements—official Fed releases or widely reported, verifiable news—can move the market quickly. The market will incorporate that information as soon as participants perceive it as reliable and relevant to who will preside at the meeting.
Yes. If a temporary or acting presider formally takes on the role for the meeting, that person is normally the outcome that resolves the market, subject to the platform’s resolution policy and any clarifying official communication.
Monitor official Federal Reserve communications (press releases, Fed website), reliable financial news outlets for personnel reports, and the exchange’s market page for any rule updates or resolution notices. Timing and source credibility are the primary drivers of rapid changes in this market.