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Economics OPEN

Who will be CNBC's number 1 US State for Business in 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
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Active Markets
10
Markets
10

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All Outcomes (10)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
North Carolina 0%
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Texas 0%
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Florida 0%
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Virginia 0%
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Ohio 0%
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Michigan 0%
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Georgia 0%
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Tennessee 0%
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Indiana 0%
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Minnesota 0%
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About This Market

This prediction market asks which U.S. state CNBC will name its number 1 State for Business for 2026. The outcome matters because CNBC's ranking influences reputations, investor attention, and policy narratives about state competitiveness.

CNBC publishes an annual Top States for Business ranking using multiple indicators such as economic performance, workforce, infrastructure, and cost factors. States' positions change year to year as economic conditions, policy choices, and corporate decisions evolve. Market participants use these dynamics to form expectations about which state will be named #1 in 2026.

Market prices aggregate traders' expectations about which state CNBC will designate as the top state for business in 2026 and will move as new information arrives. Treat prices as real-time consensus signals, not guarantees of the final outcome.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

When will this market close and when will the 2026 winner be resolved?

The market close is listed as TBD on the exchange; resolution will occur after CNBC publishes its official 2026 Top States for Business announcement and the exchange implements its stated resolution procedure. Check the Kalshi event page for official close and resolution timestamps.

What exactly counts as 'CNBC's number 1 US State for Business in 2026' for the purposes of resolution?

For resolution this event uses the state that CNBC names as its official #1 in its 2026 Top States for Business report or an equivalent official CNBC statement. The exchange will rely on CNBC's published output as the source of truth.

How many outcomes are in this market and what do they represent?

This market contains 10 outcomes; each outcome corresponds to a specific state being named CNBC's number 1 State for Business in 2026. Refer to the contract on the exchange to see which states are included.

What happens if CNBC ties multiple states for #1 or does not publish a 2026 ranking?

If CNBC issues a tie, delay, or fails to publish, the exchange will follow its pre-specified contract rules for such contingencies—this may include using an official CNBC clarification, declaring no winner, or other resolution methods defined by the platform. Traders should review Kalshi's event rules for exact procedures.

What types of news and data should traders watch to form expectations for this event?

Monitor CNBC for methodology updates, state-level economic indicators (job growth, wage trends, business investment), major corporate moves or expansions, prominent policy changes (tax, regulation, incentives), and infrastructure or workforce development announcements that could influence how CNBC evaluates states.

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