| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Comey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Letitia James | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bill Clinton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Kelly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lisa Cook | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Adam Schiff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Peter Strzok | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Clapper | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fani Willis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christopher Wray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jack Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barack Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hunter Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Milley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Christie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Krebs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Liz Cheney | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anthony Fauci | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alvin Bragg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tim Walz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pam Bondi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Keith Ellison | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jerome Powell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Brennan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ilhan Omar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elissa Slotkin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Frey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Don Lemon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Raúl Castro | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tucker Carlson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Kent | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gustavo Petro | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which named individual or entity will be formally charged with a federal crime during the 2026 calendar year; it matters because federal charges can reshape political careers, legal exposure, and public narratives.
Federal investigations and charging decisions often unfold over months or years and are driven by prosecutors, grand juries, and sometimes special counsels; high‑profile targets have repeatedly altered political dynamics when charged. The market lists multiple named outcomes (30) and remains open with a closing date to be determined, so prices will move as investigations, filings, and news evolve.
Market odds represent the crowd’s real‑time assessment of which listed person or entity is most likely to see a federal charging document filed in 2026 and should be read as an information signal that updates with new public evidence and court activity, not as a statement about legal guilt.
This market uses the date of a formal federal charging document filed in U.S. federal court during the 2026 calendar year — typically a criminal complaint, indictment, or information that names the person or entity. State charges, foreign charges, or internal administrative actions do not count.
The market counts the date of the first formal federal charging document filed in federal court that names the person or entity; if that first federal filing occurs in 2026 it qualifies, even if preparatory steps occurred earlier or later.
Only the existence of a formal federal charging document filed in 2026 matters for counting a charge; plea agreements are a post‑charge resolution when preceded by a filing, while dismissed indictments still reflect that a charge was filed unless the market rules specify otherwise.
Coverage depends on the listed outcomes in this specific market — if a corporate entity or non‑individual actor appears among the 30 outcomes, a qualifying federal charging document filed in 2026 that names that entity would count; otherwise the market applies only to the named entries.
'Closes: TBD' means the market operator has not set a final trading cutoff; traders should monitor official updates, news, and court dockets because resolution will be based on public federal court filings in 2026 and the market rules established when a close date is announced.