| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Sun | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lamar Odom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jack Lu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donald Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| David Sacks | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Changpeng Zhao | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ashley Moody | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barron Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Eric Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nick Pinto | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individuals or groups will attend former President Trump's crypto & business conference; outcomes signal which political figures, business leaders, and crypto industry actors are engaging with the event. Attendance patterns can indicate alliances, policy influence, and industry access.
Trump-organized conferences have combined political messaging with commercial and media activity in past cycles; crypto remains a contested policy area with active lobbying, regulatory debate, and high public visibility. Who shows up can reflect shifts in industry strategy, legal constraints on potential attendees, and broader political positioning ahead of electoral cycles.
Market odds aggregate participants' private information and reactions to public announcements, updating as new confirmations, cancellations, or news arrive. Read prices as a dynamic consensus signal about attendance likelihoods, not as definitive proof that an individual will or will not appear.
For this market, attendance is determined by the market's outcome definitions; absent a different specification, 'attend' typically means physical, in-person presence at the conference venue during official event hours rather than a virtual appearance or an unfulfilled RSVP.
A cancellation will generally be treated as a non-attendance for outcome resolution; market prices will usually adjust on the announcement of cancellations, and final outcomes are based on who is actually present under the market's attendance definition.
Yes — if they meet the market's stated definition of attendance (typically being physically present during the event) last-minute confirmations or unexpected attendees are counted; however, such entries are harder to predict and tend to move prices rapidly when reported.
New legal developments (charges, subpoenas, trial dates) can change an individual's availability, public risk calculus, and willingness to appear, producing swift market reactions and increasing the chance of cancellations or no-shows.
Primary drivers are official organizer releases and published guest lists, confirmations from individuals or their representatives, reputable media reports, social-media posts from named attendees, venue or ticketing updates, and late developments such as scheduling conflicts or legal filings.