| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zendaya | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Timothée Chalamet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rihanna | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| A$AP Rocky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kendall Jenner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hailey Bieber | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bad Bunny | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Doja Cat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Billie Eilish | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chappell Roan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Elordi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Emma Chamberlain | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Frank Ocean | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ice Spice | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lady Gaga | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Meryl Streep | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stanley Tucci | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Connor Storrie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hudson Williams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sam Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Margot Robbie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Teyana Taylor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DEACTIVED | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anne Hathaway | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific individuals will attend The Met Gala, a high-profile cultural fundraiser; outcomes track public attendance and signal who is visible at a major social and influence event. Market prices reflect collective expectations about guest list composition, which can matter for political, diplomatic, and fundraising analysis.
The Met Gala is an annual benefit for the Metropolitan Museum of Art's Costume Institute with a tightly curated guest list; hosts and organizers historically invite a mix of celebrities, fashion figures, major donors, and occasional public figures. Because invitations are by selection and RSVP, attendance is shaped by personal relationships, philanthropic ties, scheduling, and public considerations such as politics or controversy. This particular prediction market lists a finite set of named outcomes (15) and remains open until the exchange sets a closing time (Closes: TBD).
Market prices represent the collective, real-time assessment of who will appear at the event and update as confirmations, leaks, or cancellations occur; they are not guarantees but indicators of relative confidence based on available information. Traders should interpret shifts as signals about new information (invitations, press reports, logistical developments) rather than final outcomes until the market closes and settles.
Settlement follows the exchange's contract terms: attendance is typically verified by official guest lists, on-site photographic evidence (red carpet or event coverage) and confirmations from reputable outlets; check the event's contract specification for the definitive standards used by the market.
'Closes: TBD' means the exchange has not yet announced the market close; trading continues until the exchange sets a closing time, after which the market will be locked and later settled based on post-event verification of attendance.
Yes; last-minute changes to who actually appears at the event can change which named outcomes resolve, and markets typically react quickly to such on-the-ground developments as they are reported.
Primary sources include official statements from the Met/Costume Institute, accredited news organizations, wire services, event photography and video from established outlets, and verified social media posts from the individuals or the institution; the exchange’s settlement rules specify acceptable evidence.
Each named outcome is resolved independently according to the market's settlement criteria: one person's attendance does not automatically determine another's, and traders should treat each outcome as a discrete event governed by the contract specifications.