| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chainlink (LINK) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ethereum (ETH) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Litecoin (LTC) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dogecoin (DOGE) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shiba Inu (SHIB) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ripple (XRP) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Polkadot (DOT) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stellar Lumens (XLM) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Solana (SOL) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of ten listed cryptocurrencies will finish the 2026 calendar year with a positive return versus their assigned reference price. It matters because it aggregates trader expectations about relative price performance across major digital assets over a full year.
Cryptocurrency prices are driven by a mix of macro conditions, on‑chain fundamentals, regulatory developments, and market sentiment; calendar‑year performance is a common way to compare outcomes across assets. Markets like this condense many information sources into tradable outcomes, and the ten outcomes reflect a specific set of tokens chosen by the market creator. Because 2026 will follow recent years of heightened regulatory attention, changing monetary policy, and ongoing protocol upgrades, those forces are likely to shape end‑of‑year returns.
Odds on this market express the collective market view about whether each listed crypto will end 2026 above its reference price; they update continuously as new information arrives and should be read as market sentiment rather than guaranteed forecasts.
Resolution will compare a specified reference price (the market's official opening/reference price) against an official settlement price at the market's defined end point for 2026; the exact price sources, timestamps, and exchanges used for those reference and settlement prices are defined in the contract details on the market page.
Because the market tracks performance over the 2026 calendar year, resolution typically occurs after the 2026 end‑of‑year settlement window defined by the exchange or price feed in the contract; the market operator will post the precise close and settlement timestamps on the market page prior to resolution.
The exact list of the ten outcome tokens and the official price/reference sources are displayed on this market's outcome list and in the contract rules on the Kalshi market page; consult those fields for the authoritative names, tickers, and data feed definitions.
The contract's settlement rules determine treatment of forks, migrations, and delistings—common approaches include following the continued primary economic interest (post‑migration token) or using a specified reference exchange; if an unusual event occurs, the market operator will publish a determination per the published dispute and settlement policy.
Key swing events include major regulatory rulings or enforcement actions, large security incidents or exploits, significant protocol upgrades or adoption milestones, listings or delistings on major exchanges, and large macroeconomic shifts that alter risk appetite and capital flows into crypto.