| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Boston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Denver | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Philadelphia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which city will host the 2028 Democratic National Convention, a decision that combines logistical capability with party strategy. The outcome matters for local economies, national political messaging, and organizational logistics for the Democratic Party.
The Democratic National Committee (DNC) runs a formal site selection process in which cities submit bids that are evaluated on logistics, cost, and political considerations. Historically the party announces a host city several years before the convention to allow time for planning, venue preparation, and local coordination.
Market prices reflect the aggregate beliefs of traders about which city will be chosen and respond to new information such as formal bids, endorsements, and site visits. They are signals about market sentiment, not official decisions or guarantees.
The DNC follows a multi-step process—bid submission, site visits, a site selection committee recommendation, and a vote by the full committee—typically concluded years before the convention to permit planning. The market close is listed as TBD and may occur before or at the time of the DNC's official announcement; check the market page for any closing updates.
The Democratic National Committee makes the final decision through its site selection process and a committee vote, informed by evaluations from staff and any site selection committee; local bid committees and government partners supply the supporting proposals and guarantees.
Announcements of large hotel blocks, confirmed venue availability, firm financial guarantees from state or city governments, major endorsements from party leaders, and completed successful site visits typically move market sentiment materially.
Financial guarantees, clear security and law enforcement plans, transportation and lodging commitments, labor/union agreements for venue staffing, and demonstrated local political and civic support are the commitments that most influence both the official selection process and market reactions.
Treat preliminary reports and media leaks as informative but not definitive; prioritize official filings, formal bid submissions, DNC statements, and documented guarantees. Rapidly incorporate credible new information, and be cautious about rumors that lack sourcing or confirmation.